Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-11 15:30
Freiburg – Schalke 04
Home
49%
2.02 fair
Draw
28%
3.61 fair
Away
23%
4.36 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Freiburg – Schalke 04
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Freiburg – Schalke 04
Expected Goals2.26
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.5%
→
49.4%
-0.2 pp
Draw
27.3%
→
27.7%
+0.4 pp
Away
23.2%
→
22.9%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
39.3%
→
39.1%
-0.2 pp
Both teams to score
43.4%
→
43.5%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.26 →
2.26
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Both halves
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.92 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.82 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.66 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Total goals
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Away team goals
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — |
Both to score
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Away corners
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — |
Cards
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds