Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-11 13:30
FC Koln – M'gladbach
Home
42%
2.39 fair
Draw
23%
4.32 fair
Away
35%
2.85 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
FC Koln – M'gladbach
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
FC Koln – M'gladbach
Expected Goals3.14
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.8%
→
41.8%
-0.0 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
23.1%
0.0 pp
Away
35.1%
→
35.1%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
61.0%
→
61.0%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
62.4%
→
62.4%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.14 →
3.14
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 11.3% | 8.81 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.41 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.83 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.1 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.12 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Both to score
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
Corners
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
Away corners
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.8 | — |
Cards
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds