Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-09 18:30
Dortmund – Werder Bremen
Home
72%
1.39 fair
Draw
17%
6.03 fair
Away
11%
8.83 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Dortmund – Werder Bremen
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Dortmund – Werder Bremen
Expected Goals3.31
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
72.2%
→
72.1%
-0.1 pp
Draw
16.5%
→
16.6%
+0.1 pp
Away
11.3%
→
11.3%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
63.8%
→
63.9%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
52.4%
→
52.4%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.31 →
3.31
0.0
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.83 | — | |||
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.1 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Both halves
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
HT/FT
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.48 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.36 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.32 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.12 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — |
Total goals
| 96.2% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
Away team goals
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — |
Both to score
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — |
Cards
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds