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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-20

Union Berlin – Hoffenheim

Home 34% 2.97 fair
Draw 24% 4.18 fair
Away 42% 2.36 fair
Expected Goals3.03
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.7% → 33.7% 0.0 pp
Draw 24.3% → 23.9% -0.4 pp
Away 42.1% → 42.4% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 58.9% → 58.2% -0.7 pp
Both teams to score 61.3% → 60.8% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 3.03 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.77 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.36 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.7% 2.97 —
23.9% 4.18 —
42.4% 2.36 —
57.6% 1.74 —
66.3% 1.51 —
76.1% 1.31 —

Half-time result

21.3% 4.69 —
37.8% 2.65 —
40.9% 2.45 —

Half-time double chance

59.1% 1.69 —
78.7% 1.27 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Both halves

7.5% 13.3 —

HT/FT

16.2% 6.19 —
3.6% 27.62 —
13.9% 7.19 —
13.1% 7.63 —
10.8% 9.28 —
3.6% 27.78 —
7.2% 13.91 —
30.1% 3.32 —

HT/FT double chance

46.8% 2.14 —
42.4% 2.36 —
29.1% 3.44 —
30.6% 3.27 —
51.4% 1.95 —
42.4% 2.36 —
37.8% 2.65 —
58.4% 1.71 —
61.2% 1.64 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
80.7% 1.24 —
58.2% 1.72 —
35.5% 2.81 —
19.3% 5.19 —
41.8% 2.4 —
64.5% 1.55 —

1st-half goals

75.1% 1.33 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Home team goals

75.8% 1.32 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Away team goals

80.3% 1.25 —
47.8% 2.09 —

Both to score

60.8% 1.65 —

Corners

71.6% 1.4 —
60.7% 1.65 —
49.8% 2.01 —
39.3% 2.55 —
29.4% 3.4 —
39.3% 2.54 —
50.2% 1.99 —
60.7% 1.65 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Home corners

70.1% 1.43 —
53.8% 1.86 —
38.8% 2.57 —

Away corners

65.5% 1.53 —
48.8% 2.05 —
34.3% 2.92 —

Cards

75.8% 1.32 —
58.8% 1.7 —
42.8% 2.33 —
28.9% 3.46 —
41.2% 2.43 —
57.2% 1.75 —
71.1% 1.41 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds