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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-06

Schalke 04 – Dortmund

Home 13% 7.71 fair
Draw 26% 3.8 fair
Away 61% 1.65 fair
Expected Goals2.02
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score32%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 12.9% → 13.0% +0.1 pp
Draw 26.2% → 26.3% +0.2 pp
Away 60.9% → 60.7% -0.2 pp
Over 2.5 31.8% → 32.9% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 30.7% → 32.3% +1.6 pp
Expected Goals 1.98 → 2.02 +0.04
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.57 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.75 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

13.0% 7.71 —
26.3% 3.8 —
60.7% 1.65 —
39.3% 2.55 —
87.0% 1.15 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

9.7% 10.36 —
46.3% 2.16 —
44.0% 2.27 —

Half-time double chance

56.0% 1.79 —
90.3% 1.11 —
53.7% 1.86 —

HT/FT

5.6% 17.76 —
6.8% 14.77 —
19.6% 5.1 —
19.9% 5.02 —
4.0% 24.69 —
39.4% 2.54 —

HT/FT double chance

34.7% 2.89 —
33.7% 2.97 —
43.5% 2.3 —
12.9% 7.73 —
47.0% 2.13 —
47.5% 2.11 —
31.0% 3.23 —
66.7% 1.5 —
83.0% 1.2 —

Total goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.3% 1.66 —
32.9% 3.04 —
14.8% 6.77 —
39.7% 2.52 —
67.1% 1.49 —
85.2% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

60.1% 1.66 —
23.6% 4.23 —

Home team goals

41.5% 2.41 —
9.9% 10.11 —

Away team goals

77.5% 1.29 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Both to score

32.3% 3.1 —

Corners

69.6% 1.44 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.7% 2.1 —
37.1% 2.69 —
27.8% 3.6 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.3% 1.91 —
62.9% 1.59 —
72.2% 1.39 —

Home corners

61.1% 1.64 —
43.7% 2.29 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Away corners

70.9% 1.41 —
56.0% 1.79 —
41.1% 2.44 —

Cards

67.9% 1.47 —
49.3% 2.03 —
32.8% 3.05 —
20.0% 5.01 —
50.7% 1.97 —
67.2% 1.49 —
80.0% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds