Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-29
Burnley – Lincoln
Home
65%
1.54 fair
Draw
21%
4.81 fair
Away
14%
6.93 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
60.8%
→
64.8%
+4.0 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
20.8%
-1.7 pp
Away
16.7%
→
14.4%
-2.3 pp
Over 2.5
50.2%
→
52.3%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
47.5%
→
47.5%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.68 →
2.78
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.53 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.49 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.25 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.16 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Total goals
| 93.7% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Away team goals
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.17 | — |
Both to score
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
Away corners
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — |
Cards
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds