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Fixtures / Scotland L1 / 2026-12-26

Hamilton – Airdrie Utd

Home 54% 1.86 fair
Draw 25% 3.96 fair
Away 21% 4.73 fair
Expected Goals2.53
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.7% → 53.6% -1.1 pp
Draw 24.9% → 25.3% +0.3 pp
Away 20.3% → 21.1% +0.8 pp
Over 2.5 45.0% → 46.5% +1.6 pp
Both teams to score 46.0% → 48.0% +2.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.46 → 2.53 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.4 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.08 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.6% 1.86 —
25.3% 3.96 —
21.1% 4.73 —
78.9% 1.27 —
46.4% 2.16 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Half-time result

43.6% 2.3 —
39.5% 2.53 —
16.9% 5.92 —

Half-time double chance

83.1% 1.2 —
56.4% 1.77 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Both halves

16.7% 5.98 —

HT/FT

37.0% 2.7 —
5.1% 19.42 —
14.8% 6.75 —
16.3% 6.15 —
8.5% 11.83 —
3.9% 25.91 —
11.2% 8.9 —

HT/FT double chance

73.2% 1.37 —
61.7% 1.62 —
31.3% 3.2 —
47.8% 2.09 —
51.5% 1.94 —
21.7% 4.61 —
36.7% 2.72 —
36.3% 2.75 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Total goals

91.5% 1.09 —
71.5% 1.4 —
46.5% 2.15 —
25.1% 3.99 —
28.5% 3.51 —
53.5% 1.87 —
74.9% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

71.1% 1.41 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Home team goals

79.6% 1.26 —
48.0% 2.08 —

Away team goals

60.0% 1.67 —
23.3% 4.28 —

Both to score

48.0% 2.08 —

Corners

74.9% 1.33 —
65.4% 1.53 —
55.2% 1.81 —
45.4% 2.2 —
36.1% 2.77 —
34.6% 2.89 —
44.8% 2.23 —
54.6% 1.83 —
63.8% 1.57 —

Home corners

80.3% 1.25 —
67.7% 1.48 —
54.9% 1.82 —

Away corners

55.0% 1.82 —
38.6% 2.59 —
25.1% 3.99 —

Cards

74.0% 1.35 —
56.1% 1.78 —
38.6% 2.59 —
24.4% 4.1 —
43.9% 2.28 —
61.4% 1.63 —
75.6% 1.32 —

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