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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-26

Oxford – Plymouth

Home 50% 2.0 fair
Draw 24% 4.2 fair
Away 26% 3.81 fair
Expected Goals2.89
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 47.2% → 49.9% +2.7 pp
Draw 23.2% → 23.8% +0.6 pp
Away 29.5% → 26.3% -3.3 pp
Over 2.5 61.6% → 55.4% -6.2 pp
Both teams to score 62.1% → 56.6% -5.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.2 → 2.89 -0.31
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.9% 2.0 —
23.8% 4.2 —
26.3% 3.81 —
73.7% 1.36 —
50.1% 2.0 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Half-time result

40.6% 2.46 —
40.7% 2.46 —
18.7% 5.36 —

Half-time double chance

81.3% 1.23 —
59.4% 1.68 —
59.3% 1.69 —

Both halves

16.0% 6.25 —

HT/FT

32.3% 3.1 —
5.8% 17.27 —
15.5% 6.45 —
13.9% 7.19 —
11.3% 8.83 —
4.1% 24.33 —
12.4% 8.06 —

HT/FT double chance

67.5% 1.48 —
61.7% 1.62 —
33.6% 2.98 —
44.3% 2.26 —
49.4% 2.02 —
24.9% 4.02 —
35.6% 2.81 —
41.3% 2.42 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Total goals

94.5% 1.06 —
78.8% 1.27 —
55.4% 1.81 —
32.8% 3.05 —
21.2% 4.71 —
44.6% 2.24 —
67.2% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

69.7% 1.43 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Home team goals

82.1% 1.22 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Away team goals

69.0% 1.45 —
32.5% 3.07 —

Both to score

56.6% 1.77 —

Corners

81.3% 1.23 —
73.2% 1.37 —
63.7% 1.57 —
54.4% 1.84 —
45.0% 2.22 —
26.8% 3.74 —
36.3% 2.75 —
45.6% 2.19 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Home corners

77.4% 1.29 —
64.3% 1.56 —
50.4% 1.98 —

Away corners

72.5% 1.38 —
58.0% 1.72 —
43.6% 2.29 —

Cards

84.1% 1.19 —
70.3% 1.42 —
54.9% 1.82 —
39.6% 2.53 —
29.7% 3.37 —
45.1% 2.22 —
60.5% 1.65 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds