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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-19

AFC Wimbledon – Oxford

Home 18% 5.69 fair
Draw 23% 4.28 fair
Away 59% 1.69 fair
Expected Goals2.54
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 21.3% → 17.6% -3.8 pp
Draw 23.7% → 23.4% -0.3 pp
Away 54.9% → 59.1% +4.1 pp
Over 2.5 52.1% → 46.4% -5.8 pp
Both teams to score 52.5% → 45.6% -6.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.77 → 2.54 -0.23
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.66 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.94 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

17.6% 5.69 —
23.4% 4.28 —
59.1% 1.69 —
40.9% 2.44 —
82.5% 1.21 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Half-time result

18.0% 5.55 —
47.2% 2.12 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Half-time double chance

65.2% 1.53 —
82.0% 1.22 —
52.8% 1.89 —

HT/FT

9.6% 10.46 —
4.9% 20.62 —
3.6% 27.78 —
7.3% 13.72 —
15.3% 6.55 —
24.6% 4.07 —
3.3% 30.49 —
30.8% 3.24 —

HT/FT double chance

37.0% 2.7 —
45.1% 2.22 —
48.3% 2.07 —
18.4% 5.44 —
44.7% 2.24 —
42.6% 2.35 —
26.5% 3.77 —
63.4% 1.58 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.0% 1.39 —
46.4% 2.16 —
25.2% 3.97 —
28.0% 3.57 —
53.6% 1.86 —
74.8% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

61.4% 1.63 —
24.5% 4.08 —

Home team goals

55.8% 1.79 —
19.4% 5.15 —

Away team goals

82.0% 1.22 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Both to score

45.6% 2.19 —

Corners

77.2% 1.3 —
68.2% 1.47 —
58.2% 1.72 —
48.4% 2.06 —
38.7% 2.59 —
31.8% 3.15 —
41.8% 2.39 —
51.5% 1.94 —
61.4% 1.63 —

Home corners

75.5% 1.32 —
61.7% 1.62 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Away corners

67.8% 1.48 —
52.4% 1.91 —
38.1% 2.63 —

Cards

71.4% 1.4 —
53.1% 1.88 —
36.3% 2.76 —
22.4% 4.45 —
46.9% 2.13 —
63.7% 1.57 —
77.5% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds