Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-19
Derby – Lincoln
Home
54%
1.84 fair
Draw
24%
4.16 fair
Away
22%
4.63 fair
Expected Goals2.68
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.1%
→
54.4%
-1.7 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
24.0%
-1.3 pp
Away
18.6%
→
21.6%
+3.0 pp
Over 2.5
42.3%
→
50.0%
+7.7 pp
Both teams to score
43.8%
→
51.3%
+7.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.39 →
2.68
+0.29
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.36 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.34 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Total goals
| 93.1% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — |
Both to score
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Away corners
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — |
Cards
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds