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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-19

Elversberg – Hamburg

Home 64% 1.57 fair
Draw 18% 5.65 fair
Away 18% 5.43 fair
Expected Goals3.8
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.573%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 66.1% → 63.9% -2.2 pp
Draw 17.6% → 17.7% +0.1 pp
Away 16.2% → 18.4% +2.2 pp
Over 2.5 72.0% → 73.0% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 64.9% → 66.6% +1.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.78 → 3.8 +0.02
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.5 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.66 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.9% 1.57 —
17.7% 5.65 —
18.4% 5.43 —
81.6% 1.23 —
36.1% 2.77 —
82.3% 1.22 —

Half-time result

64.3% 1.56 —
28.4% 3.52 —
7.3% 13.61 —

Half-time double chance

92.7% 1.08 —
35.7% 2.8 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Both halves

25.9% 3.87 —

HT/FT

51.6% 1.94 —
8.0% 12.45 —
4.6% 21.55 —
11.1% 9.02 —
8.2% 12.21 —
9.1% 10.98 —
4.7% 21.46 —

HT/FT double chance

78.9% 1.27 —
76.4% 1.31 —
30.0% 3.34 —
62.3% 1.6 —
62.1% 1.61 —
18.8% 5.31 —
22.0% 4.55 —
26.1% 3.84 —
23.4% 4.27 —

Total goals

89.0% 1.12 —
73.0% 1.37 —
52.5% 1.9 —
11.0% 9.06 —
27.0% 3.71 —
47.4% 2.11 —

1st-half goals

79.0% 1.27 —
46.4% 2.15 —

Home team goals

91.7% 1.09 —
71.0% 1.41 —

Away team goals

72.6% 1.38 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Both to score

66.6% 1.5 —

Corners

77.5% 1.29 —
67.8% 1.47 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.9% 2.13 —
36.7% 2.72 —
32.2% 3.11 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.1% 1.88 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Home corners

79.4% 1.26 —
65.8% 1.52 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Away corners

63.4% 1.58 —
45.8% 2.18 —
31.1% 3.21 —

Cards

78.8% 1.27 —
63.4% 1.58 —
47.4% 2.11 —
33.2% 3.01 —
36.6% 2.73 —
52.6% 1.9 —
66.8% 1.5 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds