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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-12

Paderborn – Elversberg

Home 26% 3.78 fair
Draw 27% 3.69 fair
Away 46% 2.15 fair
Expected Goals2.41
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 17.9% → 26.4% +8.6 pp
Draw 28.9% → 27.1% -1.8 pp
Away 53.2% → 46.5% -6.8 pp
Over 2.5 32.4% → 43.4% +11.1 pp
Both teams to score 35.8% → 48.0% +12.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.0 → 2.41 +0.41
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.88 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.53 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.4% 3.78 —
27.1% 3.69 —
46.5% 2.15 —
53.5% 1.87 —
73.6% 1.36 —
72.9% 1.37 —

Half-time result

18.1% 5.52 —
46.2% 2.16 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Half-time double chance

64.3% 1.55 —
81.9% 1.22 —
53.8% 1.86 —

Both halves

4.6% 21.74 —

HT/FT

12.3% 8.16 —
4.0% 25.19 —
12.3% 8.12 —
17.4% 5.74 —
16.5% 6.06 —
5.7% 17.51 —
28.1% 3.56 —

HT/FT double chance

46.0% 2.18 —
42.9% 2.33 —
39.8% 2.51 —
23.8% 4.2 —
44.1% 2.27 —
39.6% 2.52 —
37.3% 2.68 —
58.8% 1.7 —
67.7% 1.48 —

Total goals

91.0% 1.1 —
69.5% 1.44 —
43.4% 2.3 —
22.2% 4.51 —
30.4% 3.28 —
56.6% 1.77 —
77.8% 1.29 —

1st-half goals

62.4% 1.6 —
25.2% 3.96 —

Home team goals

63.5% 1.57 —
26.2% 3.81 —

Away team goals

75.5% 1.32 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Both to score

48.0% 2.08 —

Corners

80.1% 1.25 —
71.0% 1.41 —
60.8% 1.65 —
50.8% 1.97 —
41.0% 2.44 —
29.0% 3.44 —
39.2% 2.55 —
49.2% 2.03 —
59.0% 1.69 —

Home corners

83.1% 1.2 —
71.2% 1.4 —
57.9% 1.73 —

Away corners

62.0% 1.61 —
45.3% 2.21 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Cards

64.0% 1.56 —
45.2% 2.21 —
29.0% 3.45 —
17.2% 5.8 —
54.8% 1.82 —
71.0% 1.41 —
82.8% 1.21 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds