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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-12

Dortmund – Augsburg

Home 72% 1.4 fair
Draw 17% 6.03 fair
Away 12% 8.41 fair
Expected Goals3.28
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 69.4% → 71.5% +2.1 pp
Draw 17.9% → 16.6% -1.3 pp
Away 12.7% → 11.9% -0.8 pp
Over 2.5 62.7% → 63.9% +1.2 pp
Both teams to score 53.8% → 53.1% -0.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.23 → 3.28 +0.05
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.86 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.19 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

71.5% 1.4 —
16.6% 6.03 —
11.9% 8.41 —
88.1% 1.13 —
28.5% 3.51 —
83.4% 1.2 —

Half-time result

55.0% 1.82 —
33.7% 2.97 —
11.3% 8.82 —

Half-time double chance

88.7% 1.13 —
45.0% 2.22 —
66.3% 1.51 —

Both halves

30.8% 3.25 —

HT/FT

50.0% 2.0 —
3.8% 26.39 —
18.7% 5.35 —
9.8% 10.15 —
5.1% 19.53 —
5.6% 17.99 —

HT/FT double chance

82.3% 1.21 —
75.0% 1.33 —
20.0% 5.01 —
59.6% 1.68 —
59.6% 1.68 —
13.5% 7.41 —
34.3% 2.91 —
32.2% 3.1 —
23.5% 4.26 —

Total goals

96.1% 1.04 —
83.7% 1.2 —
63.9% 1.56 —
41.6% 2.4 —
16.3% 6.12 —
36.1% 2.77 —
58.4% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

76.3% 1.31 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Home team goals

90.8% 1.1 —
69.4% 1.44 —

Away team goals

58.4% 1.71 —
21.5% 4.65 —

Both to score

53.1% 1.88 —

Corners

72.3% 1.38 —
61.6% 1.62 —
50.8% 1.97 —
40.3% 2.48 —
30.9% 3.24 —
38.5% 2.6 —
49.2% 2.03 —
59.7% 1.68 —
69.1% 1.45 —

Home corners

80.5% 1.24 —
68.4% 1.46 —
54.4% 1.84 —

Away corners

49.4% 2.03 —
32.8% 3.05 —
19.7% 5.07 —

Cards

73.3% 1.36 —
56.1% 1.78 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.6% 3.77 —
43.9% 2.28 —
59.7% 1.68 —
73.4% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds