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Fixtures / Scotland L2 / 2026-12-04

Dumbarton – Stranraer

Home 31% 3.25 fair
Draw 28% 3.53 fair
Away 41% 2.44 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.8% → 30.7% -4.1 pp
Draw 27.9% → 28.3% +0.4 pp
Away 37.3% → 41.0% +3.7 pp
Over 2.5 43.0% → 41.7% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 49.1% → 48.0% -1.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.39 → 2.36 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.66 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.99 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.7% 3.25 —
28.3% 3.53 —
41.0% 2.44 —
59.0% 1.69 —
69.3% 1.44 —
71.7% 1.39 —

Half-time result

20.8% 4.81 —
41.6% 2.4 —
37.5% 2.66 —

Half-time double chance

62.5% 1.6 —
79.2% 1.26 —
58.4% 1.71 —

Both halves

6.6% 15.17 —

HT/FT

16.2% 6.18 —
3.7% 27.1 —
12.5% 8.02 —
17.8% 5.61 —
11.3% 8.81 —
6.8% 14.75 —
28.7% 3.49 —

HT/FT double chance

50.2% 1.99 —
40.9% 2.44 —
33.8% 2.96 —
28.7% 3.48 —
47.9% 2.09 —
40.1% 2.5 —
39.2% 2.55 —
54.6% 1.83 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.1 —
68.7% 1.46 —
41.7% 2.4 —
21.6% 4.64 —
31.4% 3.19 —
58.3% 1.71 —
78.5% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

69.6% 1.44 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Home team goals

66.0% 1.51 —
29.3% 3.41 —

Away team goals

72.5% 1.38 —
36.6% 2.73 —

Both to score

48.0% 2.08 —

Corners

79.5% 1.26 —
70.1% 1.43 —
59.5% 1.68 —
49.0% 2.04 —
38.8% 2.58 —
29.9% 3.34 —
40.5% 2.47 —
51.0% 1.96 —
61.2% 1.63 —

Home corners

75.1% 1.33 —
59.9% 1.67 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Away corners

72.5% 1.38 —
57.4% 1.74 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Cards

73.0% 1.37 —
54.4% 1.84 —
37.1% 2.69 —
22.8% 4.39 —
45.6% 2.19 —
62.9% 1.59 —
77.2% 1.3 —

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