Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-09
Lincoln – Stoke
Home
30%
3.29 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
42%
2.38 fair
Expected Goals2.38
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
39.1%
→
30.4%
-8.7 pp
Draw
33.7%
→
27.5%
-6.2 pp
Away
27.3%
→
42.0%
+14.8 pp
Over 2.5
24.2%
→
42.8%
+18.6 pp
Both teams to score
32.5%
→
48.4%
+16.0 pp
Expected Goals
1.7 →
2.38
+0.68
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.12 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — |
Both halves
| 6.4% | 15.72 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.64 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Total goals
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.99 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — |
Both to score
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Away corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Cards
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds