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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-05

Leeds – Ipswich

Home 62% 1.61 fair
Draw 20% 4.9 fair
Away 17% 5.72 fair
Expected Goals3.01
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 69.4% → 62.1% -7.3 pp
Draw 17.7% → 20.4% +2.7 pp
Away 12.8% → 17.5% +4.6 pp
Over 2.5 60.9% → 58.2% -2.6 pp
Both teams to score 51.9% → 54.5% +2.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.14 → 3.01 -0.13
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.21 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.9 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.1% 1.61 —
20.4% 4.9 —
17.5% 5.72 —
82.5% 1.21 —
37.9% 2.64 —
79.6% 1.26 —

Half-time result

53.6% 1.87 —
34.2% 2.92 —
12.2% 8.21 —

Half-time double chance

87.8% 1.14 —
46.4% 2.15 —
65.8% 1.52 —

Both halves

22.0% 4.54 —

HT/FT

45.4% 2.2 —
6.0% 16.53 —
14.9% 6.72 —
11.5% 8.67 —
7.8% 12.74 —
7.5% 13.32 —

HT/FT double chance

77.8% 1.28 —
70.2% 1.42 —
27.6% 3.63 —
56.1% 1.78 —
56.9% 1.76 —
18.5% 5.4 —
31.1% 3.22 —
32.1% 3.12 —
29.7% 3.36 —

Total goals

95.1% 1.05 —
80.3% 1.25 —
58.2% 1.72 —
35.6% 2.81 —
19.7% 5.07 —
41.8% 2.39 —
64.4% 1.55 —

1st-half goals

75.7% 1.32 —
41.6% 2.4 —

Home team goals

87.0% 1.15 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Away team goals

62.5% 1.6 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Both to score

54.5% 1.84 —

Corners

65.7% 1.52 —
54.0% 1.85 —
43.1% 2.32 —
33.3% 3.0 —
24.4% 4.1 —
46.0% 2.17 —
56.9% 1.76 —
66.7% 1.5 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Home corners

74.4% 1.34 —
59.9% 1.67 —
45.1% 2.21 —

Away corners

48.8% 2.05 —
32.4% 3.09 —
19.6% 5.11 —

Cards

70.2% 1.42 —
51.7% 1.93 —
35.2% 2.84 —
22.3% 4.49 —
48.3% 2.07 —
64.8% 1.54 —
77.7% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds