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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-05

Charlton – Birmingham

Home 25% 4.05 fair
Draw 29% 3.44 fair
Away 46% 2.16 fair
Expected Goals2.12
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.535%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.3% → 24.7% -5.6 pp
Draw 31.4% → 29.1% -2.4 pp
Away 38.2% → 46.2% +8.0 pp
Over 2.5 31.1% → 35.3% +4.1 pp
Both teams to score 39.1% → 41.1% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 1.97 → 2.12 +0.15
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.59 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

24.7% 4.05 —
29.1% 3.44 —
46.2% 2.16 —
53.8% 1.86 —
75.3% 1.33 —
70.9% 1.41 —

Half-time result

18.2% 5.49 —
41.7% 2.4 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Half-time double chance

59.9% 1.67 —
81.8% 1.22 —
58.3% 1.71 —

Both halves

4.4% 22.57 —

HT/FT

13.5% 7.42 —
3.7% 26.95 —
9.8% 10.21 —
19.6% 5.1 —
12.3% 8.14 —
5.8% 17.3 —
32.9% 3.04 —

HT/FT double chance

46.6% 2.15 —
36.6% 2.73 —
36.6% 2.73 —
24.4% 4.1 —
48.8% 2.05 —
43.4% 2.3 —
36.6% 2.73 —
56.4% 1.77 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Total goals

88.0% 1.14 —
62.6% 1.6 —
35.3% 2.83 —
16.8% 5.97 —
37.5% 2.67 —
64.7% 1.55 —
83.2% 1.2 —

1st-half goals

68.0% 1.47 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Home team goals

56.9% 1.76 —
21.0% 4.77 —

Away team goals

72.2% 1.39 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Both to score

41.1% 2.43 —

Corners

69.8% 1.43 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.8% 2.09 —
37.3% 2.68 —
28.1% 3.56 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.2% 1.92 —
62.7% 1.6 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Home corners

60.2% 1.66 —
43.4% 2.3 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Away corners

71.5% 1.4 —
56.0% 1.78 —
41.2% 2.43 —

Cards

70.3% 1.42 —
51.5% 1.94 —
34.4% 2.91 —
21.1% 4.74 —
48.5% 2.06 —
65.6% 1.52 —
78.9% 1.27 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds