Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-05
Watford – Millwall
Home
34%
2.96 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
39%
2.59 fair
Expected Goals2.33
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.9%
→
33.8%
+0.9 pp
Draw
28.4%
→
27.6%
-0.8 pp
Away
38.6%
→
38.6%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
39.8%
→
41.5%
+1.7 pp
Both teams to score
46.3%
→
46.9%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.28 →
2.33
+0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 6.8% | 14.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.2% | 6.58 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.74 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.66 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.11 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Total goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Both to score
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Away corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — |
Cards
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds