Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-05
Bristol City – Swansea
Home
39%
2.58 fair
Draw
27%
3.67 fair
Away
34%
2.94 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.3%
→
38.7%
-1.5 pp
Draw
27.3%
→
27.2%
-0.1 pp
Away
32.4%
→
34.0%
+1.6 pp
Over 2.5
44.6%
→
44.3%
-0.3 pp
Both teams to score
50.1%
→
49.7%
-0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.47 →
2.45
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 9.5% | 10.52 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.0 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.08 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
Total goals
| 91.3% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Both to score
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Corners
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — |
Cards
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds