Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-05
Leverkusen – M'gladbach
Home
71%
1.42 fair
Draw
16%
6.33 fair
Away
14%
7.39 fair
Expected Goals3.69
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.571%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
71.1%
→
70.7%
-0.4 pp
Draw
16.4%
→
15.8%
-0.6 pp
Away
12.6%
→
13.5%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
69.7%
→
71.3%
+1.6 pp
Both teams to score
58.6%
→
60.7%
+2.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.6 →
3.69
+0.09
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — |
Half-time result
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — |
Both halves
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
HT/FT
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.95 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.93 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.5 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
Total goals
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.37 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
1st-half goals
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — |
Both to score
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — |
Away corners
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.83 | — |
Cards
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds