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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-05

Ein Frankfurt – Werder Bremen

Home 53% 1.89 fair
Draw 21% 4.71 fair
Away 26% 3.85 fair
Expected Goals3.42
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.1% → 52.8% -3.3 pp
Draw 20.1% → 21.2% +1.1 pp
Away 23.8% → 26.0% +2.2 pp
Over 2.5 67.3% → 66.0% -1.2 pp
Both teams to score 64.3% → 64.9% +0.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.45 → 3.42 -0.03
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.32 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

52.8% 1.89 —
21.2% 4.71 —
26.0% 3.85 —
74.0% 1.35 —
47.2% 2.12 —
78.8% 1.27 —

Half-time result

48.9% 2.05 —
35.5% 2.82 —
15.7% 6.38 —

Half-time double chance

84.3% 1.19 —
51.1% 1.96 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Both halves

18.2% 5.49 —

HT/FT

38.0% 2.63 —
7.0% 14.35 —
3.9% 25.97 —
12.8% 7.79 —
11.1% 8.98 —
11.5% 8.7 —
3.1% 32.05 —
10.6% 9.41 —

HT/FT double chance

69.0% 1.45 —
66.2% 1.51 —
33.5% 2.99 —
50.0% 2.0 —
54.4% 1.84 —
24.6% 4.07 —
29.0% 3.45 —
36.9% 2.71 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Total goals

96.7% 1.03 —
85.3% 1.17 —
66.0% 1.51 —
44.2% 2.26 —
14.7% 6.8 —
34.0% 2.94 —
55.8% 1.79 —

1st-half goals

76.3% 1.31 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Home team goals

86.6% 1.16 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Away team goals

75.0% 1.33 —
39.9% 2.51 —

Both to score

64.9% 1.54 —

Corners

67.8% 1.48 —
56.0% 1.79 —
44.6% 2.24 —
34.1% 2.94 —
25.1% 3.99 —
44.0% 2.27 —
55.4% 1.81 —
65.9% 1.52 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Home corners

74.1% 1.35 —
59.2% 1.69 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Away corners

52.2% 1.92 —
35.2% 2.84 —
21.7% 4.61 —

Cards

73.3% 1.36 —
56.3% 1.78 —
39.8% 2.51 —
26.5% 3.78 —
43.7% 2.29 —
60.2% 1.66 —
73.5% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds