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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-09-19 15:00

Morton – Dunfermline

Home 22% 4.5 fair
Draw 24% 4.21 fair
Away 54% 1.85 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Morton – Dunfermline
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Morton – Dunfermline
Expected Goals2.85
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.553%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

22.2% 4.5 22.4% 4.00
23.8% 4.21 24.9% 3.60
54.0% 1.85 52.7% 1.70
46.0% 2.17 —
77.8% 1.29 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Half-time result

23.8% 4.19 —
41.0% 2.44 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Half-time double chance

64.9% 1.54 —
76.1% 1.31 —
59.0% 1.7 —

Both halves

4.2% 23.64 —

HT/FT

13.8% 7.23 —
6.1% 16.42 —
3.9% 25.58 —
7.4% 13.57 —
13.9% 7.2 —
19.8% 5.06 —
3.8% 26.39 —
30.3% 3.3 —

HT/FT double chance

41.2% 2.43 —
44.9% 2.23 —
43.6% 2.29 —
24.8% 4.04 —
49.1% 2.04 —
44.1% 2.27 —
26.1% 3.84 —
58.5% 1.71 —
67.8% 1.48 —

Total goals

93.7% 1.07 —
76.8% 1.3 —
53.4% 1.87 53.9% 1.75
31.7% 3.16 —
23.2% 4.32 —
46.6% 2.15 46.1% 2.05
68.3% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.0% 2.85 —

Home team goals

65.1% 1.54 —
28.4% 3.52 —

Away team goals

82.8% 1.21 —
52.6% 1.9 —

Both to score

54.2% 1.84 —

Corners

69.9% 1.43 —
60.0% 1.67 —
49.6% 2.01 —
40.2% 2.49 —
31.7% 3.16 —
40.0% 2.5 —
50.4% 1.99 —
59.8% 1.67 —
68.3% 1.46 —

Home corners

66.1% 1.51 —
51.3% 1.95 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Away corners

66.2% 1.51 —
50.7% 1.97 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Cards

77.5% 1.29 —
60.4% 1.65 —
44.0% 2.27 —
29.8% 3.35 —
39.6% 2.53 —
56.0% 1.78 —
70.2% 1.43 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds