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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-11-29

Magdeburg – Cottbus

Home 54% 1.84 fair
Draw 20% 5.02 fair
Away 26% 3.9 fair
Expected Goals3.77
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.572%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.2% → 54.4% +16.2 pp
Draw 19.5% → 19.9% +0.4 pp
Away 42.3% → 25.7% -16.7 pp
Over 2.5 83.6% → 72.3% -11.3 pp
Both teams to score 81.0% → 69.6% -11.4 pp
Expected Goals 4.6 → 3.77 -0.83
Most Likely Score 2-2 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.77
0
1
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3
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7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.95 awaiting league sample
4
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6
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12
13
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.87 awaiting league sample
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9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.4% 1.84 —
19.9% 5.02 —
25.7% 3.9 —
74.3% 1.35 —
45.6% 2.19 —
80.1% 1.25 —

Half-time result

34.4% 2.9 —
35.8% 2.79 —
29.8% 3.36 —

Half-time double chance

70.2% 1.42 —
65.5% 1.53 —
64.2% 1.56 —

Both halves

18.2% 5.49 —

HT/FT

29.4% 3.4 —
3.6% 27.78 —
18.8% 5.31 —
9.6% 10.46 —
7.4% 13.55 —
6.2% 16.21 —
6.8% 14.75 —
16.8% 5.95 —

HT/FT double chance

61.4% 1.63 —
57.1% 1.75 —
22.0% 4.55 —
45.9% 2.18 —
53.8% 1.86 —
28.7% 3.49 —
41.3% 2.42 —
49.2% 2.03 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Total goals

88.8% 1.13 —
72.3% 1.38 —
51.8% 1.93 —
11.2% 8.94 —
27.7% 3.61 —
48.2% 2.08 —

1st-half goals

79.1% 1.26 —
46.7% 2.14 —

Home team goals

89.0% 1.12 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Away team goals

78.1% 1.28 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Both to score

69.6% 1.44 —

Corners

79.8% 1.25 —
70.8% 1.41 —
61.2% 1.63 —
51.0% 1.96 —
41.4% 2.41 —
29.2% 3.42 —
38.8% 2.58 —
49.0% 2.04 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Home corners

77.7% 1.29 —
64.2% 1.56 —
50.3% 1.99 —

Away corners

69.6% 1.44 —
54.2% 1.84 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Cards

83.5% 1.2 —
68.6% 1.46 —
51.9% 1.93 —
36.3% 2.75 —
31.4% 3.18 —
48.1% 2.08 —
63.7% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds