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Fixtures / League One / 2026-09-19 12:30

Barnsley – Leicester

Home 29% 3.49 fair
Draw 22% 4.49 fair
Away 49% 2.04 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Barnsley – Leicester
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Barnsley – Leicester
Expected Goals3.26
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.563%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.6% 3.49 28.1% 3.30
22.2% 4.49 24.7% 3.75
49.1% 2.04 47.2% 1.96
50.9% 1.96 —
71.4% 1.4 —
77.7% 1.29 —

Half-time result

22.7% 4.4 —
33.9% 2.95 —
43.4% 2.31 —

Half-time double chance

56.6% 1.77 —
77.3% 1.29 —
66.1% 1.51 —

Both halves

6.7% 14.88 —

HT/FT

16.1% 6.21 —
4.3% 23.15 —
9.8% 10.22 —
11.6% 8.6 —
12.5% 8.0 —
6.3% 15.87 —
34.3% 2.91 —

HT/FT double chance

41.8% 2.39 —
40.7% 2.46 —
30.8% 3.25 —
29.5% 3.39 —
55.5% 1.8 —
47.2% 2.12 —
30.5% 3.28 —
59.4% 1.68 —
64.7% 1.54 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
83.8% 1.19 —
63.3% 1.58 63.7% 1.48
40.9% 2.45 —
16.2% 6.18 —
36.7% 2.73 36.3% 2.60
59.2% 1.69 —

1st-half goals

80.2% 1.25 —
47.8% 2.09 —

Home team goals

75.1% 1.33 —
40.6% 2.46 —

Away team goals

84.9% 1.18 —
55.7% 1.8 —

Both to score

63.7% 1.57 —

Corners

80.7% 1.24 —
72.0% 1.39 —
62.2% 1.61 —
51.9% 1.93 —
41.9% 2.38 —
28.0% 3.57 —
37.8% 2.65 —
48.1% 2.08 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Home corners

78.6% 1.27 —
65.3% 1.53 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Away corners

70.1% 1.43 —
54.6% 1.83 —
40.1% 2.5 —

Cards

68.3% 1.46 —
48.6% 2.06 —
32.2% 3.11 —
19.2% 5.22 —
51.4% 1.95 —
67.8% 1.47 —
80.8% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds