Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-18 11:30
Dresden – Magdeburg
Home
43%
2.35 fair
Draw
23%
4.43 fair
Away
35%
2.87 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Dresden – Magdeburg
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Dresden – Magdeburg
Expected Goals3.51
Both teams to score68%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
44.4%
→
42.5%
-1.9 pp
Draw
21.9%
→
22.6%
+0.7 pp
Away
33.7%
→
34.9%
+1.2 pp
Over 2.5
68.8%
→
68.2%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
68.9%
→
68.1%
-0.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.53 →
3.51
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
Both halves
| 11.8% | 8.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 11.99 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.36 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.76 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.29 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.29 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
1st-half goals
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — |
Both to score
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Corners
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Away corners
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Cards
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds