Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-19 12:30
Tottenham – Aston Villa
Home
49%
2.05 fair
Draw
25%
4.08 fair
Away
27%
3.75 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Tottenham – Aston Villa
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Tottenham – Aston Villa
Expected Goals2.75
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.8% | 2.05 | 47.3% | 2.00 | ||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | 27.1% | 3.50 | ||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | 25.6% | 3.70 | ||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 14.3% | 7.0 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.74 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.98 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.37 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.8 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Total goals
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | 52.6% | 1.83 | ||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | 47.4% | 2.03 | ||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — |
Both to score
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — |
Corners
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
Home corners
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Away corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Cards
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds