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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-09-20 18:30

Paderborn – Hoffenheim

Home 15% 6.67 fair
Draw 24% 4.18 fair
Away 61% 1.64 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-1 Paderborn – Hoffenheim
FINAL Actual Result 3–1 Paderborn – Hoffenheim
Expected Goals2.37
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.542%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.36 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.07 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
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9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

15.0% 6.67 21.9% 4.33
23.9% 4.18 21.1% 4.50
61.1% 1.64 56.9% 1.67
39.0% 2.57 —
85.0% 1.18 —
76.0% 1.31 —

Half-time result

14.0% 7.16 —
37.4% 2.68 —
48.7% 2.05 —

Half-time double chance

51.3% 1.95 —
86.0% 1.16 —
62.6% 1.6 —

HT/FT

8.8% 11.33 —
3.5% 28.17 —
5.5% 18.32 —
16.4% 6.11 —
15.5% 6.44 —
4.0% 24.88 —
44.0% 2.28 —

HT/FT double chance

34.2% 2.92 —
31.4% 3.19 —
37.0% 2.7 —
17.1% 5.84 —
55.1% 1.82 —
53.1% 1.88 —
26.6% 3.77 —
65.6% 1.52 —
79.9% 1.25 —

Total goals

90.4% 1.11 —
68.5% 1.46 —
42.5% 2.35 65.6% 1.44
21.7% 4.61 —
31.5% 3.17 —
57.5% 1.74 34.4% 2.75
78.3% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

72.7% 1.37 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Home team goals

50.2% 1.99 —
15.3% 6.51 —

Away team goals

81.2% 1.23 —
50.2% 1.99 —

Both to score

41.0% 2.44 —

Corners

76.3% 1.31 —
66.2% 1.51 —
55.9% 1.79 —
45.4% 2.2 —
35.5% 2.81 —
33.8% 2.96 —
44.1% 2.27 —
54.6% 1.83 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Home corners

74.9% 1.34 —
60.2% 1.66 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Away corners

67.4% 1.48 —
51.3% 1.95 —
36.6% 2.73 —

Cards

72.3% 1.38 —
55.0% 1.82 —
38.3% 2.61 —
24.6% 4.07 —
45.0% 2.22 —
61.8% 1.62 —
75.4% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds