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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-01

Reading – Doncaster

Home 60% 1.67 fair
Draw 22% 4.61 fair
Away 18% 5.41 fair
Expected Goals2.9
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 55.6% → 59.8% +4.2 pp
Draw 23.0% → 21.7% -1.3 pp
Away 21.4% → 18.5% -2.9 pp
Over 2.5 54.2% → 55.2% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 53.9% → 52.6% -1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.85 → 2.9 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.45 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.65 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

59.8% 1.67 —
21.7% 4.61 —
18.5% 5.41 —
81.5% 1.23 —
40.2% 2.49 —
78.3% 1.28 —

Half-time result

34.9% 2.87 —
48.4% 2.06 —
16.7% 5.99 —

Half-time double chance

83.3% 1.2 —
65.1% 1.54 —
51.5% 1.94 —

Both halves

18.6% 5.36 —

HT/FT

29.8% 3.36 —
3.8% 26.25 —
26.1% 3.83 —
13.6% 7.37 —
8.8% 11.42 —
3.9% 25.71 —
4.3% 23.15 —
8.5% 11.79 —

HT/FT double chance

73.3% 1.36 —
65.9% 1.52 —
27.4% 3.65 —
41.8% 2.39 —
43.4% 2.3 —
17.9% 5.6 —
47.9% 2.09 —
47.3% 2.12 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Total goals

94.5% 1.06 —
78.2% 1.28 —
55.2% 1.81 —
32.9% 3.04 —
21.8% 4.6 —
44.8% 2.23 —
67.1% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

59.2% 1.69 —
22.3% 4.48 —

Home team goals

85.3% 1.17 —
57.3% 1.74 —

Away team goals

61.8% 1.62 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Both to score

52.6% 1.9 —

Corners

67.4% 1.48 —
56.5% 1.77 —
46.2% 2.17 —
35.9% 2.78 —
27.2% 3.68 —
43.5% 2.3 —
53.8% 1.86 —
64.1% 1.56 —
72.8% 1.37 —

Home corners

68.6% 1.46 —
53.1% 1.88 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Away corners

60.1% 1.66 —
43.5% 2.3 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Cards

67.2% 1.49 —
47.7% 2.1 —
30.8% 3.25 —
18.5% 5.4 —
52.3% 1.91 —
69.2% 1.44 —
81.5% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds