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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-01

Notts County – AFC Wimbledon

Home 57% 1.74 fair
Draw 25% 3.97 fair
Away 17% 5.77 fair
Expected Goals2.23
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.7% → 57.5% +11.8 pp
Draw 29.1% → 25.2% -3.9 pp
Away 25.3% → 17.3% -8.0 pp
Over 2.5 36.1% → 38.7% +2.6 pp
Both teams to score 42.0% → 39.0% -3.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.13 → 2.23 +0.1
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.5% 1.74 —
25.2% 3.97 —
17.3% 5.77 —
82.7% 1.21 —
42.5% 2.35 —
74.8% 1.34 —

Half-time result

33.1% 3.02 —
48.7% 2.05 —
18.2% 5.49 —

Half-time double chance

81.8% 1.22 —
66.9% 1.49 —
51.3% 1.95 —

Both halves

16.9% 5.92 —

HT/FT

29.7% 3.37 —
24.4% 4.09 —
17.5% 5.7 —
6.7% 14.93 —
3.3% 30.21 —
4.9% 20.58 —
10.0% 9.98 —

HT/FT double chance

74.5% 1.34 —
61.5% 1.63 —
27.6% 3.62 —
40.7% 2.46 —
43.6% 2.29 —
18.3% 5.47 —
50.2% 1.99 —
44.5% 2.25 —
39.1% 2.55 —

Total goals

89.1% 1.12 —
65.3% 1.53 —
38.7% 2.58 —
18.3% 5.46 —
34.6% 2.89 —
61.3% 1.63 —
81.7% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

59.1% 1.69 —
22.0% 4.54 —

Home team goals

78.0% 1.28 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Away team goals

50.1% 1.99 —
15.6% 6.43 —

Both to score

39.0% 2.56 —

Corners

71.6% 1.4 —
61.1% 1.64 —
50.3% 1.99 —
40.0% 2.5 —
31.2% 3.21 —
38.9% 2.57 —
49.7% 2.01 —
60.0% 1.67 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Home corners

68.7% 1.46 —
53.3% 1.87 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Away corners

66.0% 1.52 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Cards

72.2% 1.39 —
53.7% 1.86 —
36.8% 2.72 —
23.4% 4.28 —
46.3% 2.16 —
63.2% 1.58 —
76.6% 1.31 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds