Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-01
Blackpool – Luton
Home
35%
2.9 fair
Draw
25%
4.06 fair
Away
41%
2.45 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.2%
→
34.5%
-5.7 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
24.7%
+0.5 pp
Away
35.6%
→
40.8%
+5.2 pp
Over 2.5
58.0%
→
56.7%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
60.7%
→
59.7%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.01 →
2.97
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 8.6% | 11.7 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.16 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.38 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.33 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — |
Both to score
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Away corners
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Cards
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds