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Fixtures / Scotland L1 / 2026-11-21

Montrose – Alloa

Home 33% 2.99 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 42% 2.4 fair
Expected Goals2.88
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 31.6% → 33.5% +1.8 pp
Draw 24.9% → 24.8% -0.0 pp
Away 43.5% → 41.7% -1.8 pp
Over 2.5 54.7% → 55.1% +0.4 pp
Both teams to score 57.6% → 58.0% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.87 → 2.88 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.34 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.96 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.5% 2.99 —
24.8% 4.03 —
41.7% 2.4 —
58.3% 1.71 —
66.5% 1.5 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

34.9% 2.87 —
40.9% 2.44 —
24.2% 4.13 —

Half-time double chance

75.8% 1.32 —
65.1% 1.54 —
59.1% 1.69 —

Both halves

8.2% 12.21 —

HT/FT

22.9% 4.36 —
7.5% 13.32 —
4.4% 22.62 —
9.3% 10.7 —
13.9% 7.18 —
17.7% 5.66 —
3.4% 29.41 —
19.6% 5.11 —

HT/FT double chance

53.7% 1.86 —
54.4% 1.84 —
43.5% 2.3 —
35.1% 2.85 —
48.1% 2.08 —
34.9% 2.86 —
27.9% 3.58 —
47.8% 2.09 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Total goals

94.3% 1.06 —
78.2% 1.28 —
55.1% 1.82 —
32.6% 3.07 —
21.8% 4.59 —
44.9% 2.23 —
67.4% 1.48 —

1st-half goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Home team goals

73.9% 1.35 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Away team goals

78.4% 1.28 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Both to score

58.0% 1.73 —

Corners

66.3% 1.51 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.5% 2.25 —
34.4% 2.91 —
26.1% 3.83 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.5% 1.8 —
65.6% 1.52 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Home corners

65.0% 1.54 —
49.5% 2.02 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Away corners

61.3% 1.63 —
45.4% 2.2 —
32.1% 3.12 —

Cards

72.0% 1.39 —
53.8% 1.86 —
36.3% 2.76 —
22.6% 4.43 —
46.2% 2.17 —
63.7% 1.57 —
77.4% 1.29 —

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