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Fixtures / Scotland L1 / 2026-11-14

East Kilbride – Alloa

Home 54% 1.87 fair
Draw 23% 4.27 fair
Away 23% 4.35 fair
Expected Goals2.87
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.9% → 53.6% +4.7 pp
Draw 24.1% → 23.4% -0.7 pp
Away 27.0% → 23.0% -4.0 pp
Over 2.5 55.9% → 54.7% -1.2 pp
Both teams to score 57.8% → 54.6% -3.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.93 → 2.87 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.85 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.92 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.6% 1.87 —
23.4% 4.27 —
23.0% 4.35 —
77.0% 1.3 —
46.4% 2.16 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Half-time result

40.4% 2.47 —
41.4% 2.41 —
18.1% 5.51 —

Half-time double chance

81.9% 1.22 —
59.6% 1.68 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Both halves

17.5% 5.71 —

HT/FT

33.1% 3.02 —
5.4% 18.62 —
17.9% 5.58 —
13.7% 7.29 —
9.8% 10.18 —
4.3% 23.09 —
11.2% 8.92 —

HT/FT double chance

70.1% 1.43 —
62.8% 1.59 —
30.9% 3.24 —
45.4% 2.2 —
48.9% 2.05 —
22.9% 4.37 —
38.6% 2.59 —
41.5% 2.41 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
77.8% 1.28 —
54.7% 1.83 —
32.6% 3.07 —
22.1% 4.51 —
45.3% 2.21 —
67.4% 1.48 —

1st-half goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Home team goals

83.0% 1.21 —
53.3% 1.87 —

Away team goals

65.8% 1.52 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Both to score

54.6% 1.83 —

Corners

70.9% 1.41 —
60.6% 1.65 —
49.7% 2.01 —
39.6% 2.53 —
30.3% 3.3 —
39.5% 2.53 —
50.3% 1.99 —
60.5% 1.65 —
69.7% 1.43 —

Home corners

79.5% 1.26 —
67.2% 1.49 —
53.9% 1.86 —

Away corners

47.7% 2.1 —
31.6% 3.16 —
19.3% 5.17 —

Cards

82.9% 1.21 —
68.0% 1.47 —
52.2% 1.92 —
36.9% 2.71 —
31.9% 3.13 —
47.8% 2.09 —
63.1% 1.58 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds