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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-11-21

Dunfermline – Morton

Home 54% 1.85 fair
Draw 25% 3.95 fair
Away 21% 4.83 fair
Expected Goals2.43
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.8% → 54.0% +3.2 pp
Draw 27.2% → 25.3% -1.9 pp
Away 22.0% → 20.7% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 41.4% → 43.3% +1.9 pp
Both teams to score 44.3% → 45.1% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.35 → 2.43 +0.08
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.81 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.0% 1.85 —
25.3% 3.95 —
20.7% 4.83 —
79.3% 1.26 —
46.0% 2.17 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Half-time result

30.9% 3.24 —
46.8% 2.14 —
22.3% 4.49 —

Half-time double chance

77.7% 1.29 —
69.1% 1.45 —
53.2% 1.88 —

Both halves

15.2% 6.59 —

HT/FT

27.2% 3.68 —
3.1% 32.47 —
23.0% 4.34 —
16.7% 6.0 —
7.1% 14.04 —
3.7% 26.74 —
5.6% 17.92 —
13.0% 7.72 —

HT/FT double chance

70.0% 1.43 —
58.0% 1.72 —
27.5% 3.64 —
39.6% 2.53 —
44.5% 2.25 —
22.2% 4.49 —
49.0% 2.04 —
46.9% 2.13 —
42.3% 2.36 —

Total goals

90.9% 1.1 —
69.1% 1.45 —
43.3% 2.31 —
23.0% 4.36 —
30.9% 3.23 —
56.7% 1.76 —
77.0% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

62.9% 1.59 —
26.5% 3.78 —

Home team goals

78.6% 1.27 —
46.2% 2.16 —

Away team goals

57.4% 1.74 —
21.6% 4.63 —

Both to score

45.1% 2.22 —

Corners

68.6% 1.46 —
58.8% 1.7 —
48.9% 2.04 —
39.6% 2.53 —
31.0% 3.23 —
41.2% 2.43 —
51.0% 1.96 —
60.5% 1.65 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Home corners

76.5% 1.31 —
63.4% 1.58 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Away corners

50.6% 1.97 —
35.0% 2.85 —
22.8% 4.4 —

Cards

76.6% 1.31 —
60.2% 1.66 —
44.1% 2.27 —
29.8% 3.35 —
39.8% 2.51 —
55.9% 1.79 —
70.2% 1.42 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds