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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-11-21

Arbroath – Stenhousemuir

Home 29% 3.49 fair
Draw 29% 3.49 fair
Away 43% 2.35 fair
Expected Goals2.32
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 6.3% → 28.7% +22.3 pp
Draw 23.0% → 28.7% +5.7 pp
Away 70.7% → 42.6% -28.0 pp
Over 2.5 30.1% → 40.5% +10.4 pp
Both teams to score 20.7% → 46.8% +26.1 pp
Expected Goals 1.92 → 2.32 +0.4
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.22 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.7% 3.49 —
28.7% 3.49 —
42.6% 2.35 —
57.4% 1.74 —
71.3% 1.4 —
71.3% 1.4 —

Half-time result

21.5% 4.64 —
44.9% 2.23 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Half-time double chance

66.4% 1.51 —
78.5% 1.27 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Both halves

5.6% 17.89 —

HT/FT

15.7% 6.39 —
4.3% 23.42 —
11.3% 8.86 —
19.1% 5.24 —
14.5% 6.91 —
5.3% 18.8 —
26.5% 3.77 —

HT/FT double chance

50.3% 1.99 —
43.0% 2.32 —
39.5% 2.53 —
27.0% 3.7 —
45.6% 2.19 —
37.8% 2.65 —
37.5% 2.67 —
54.0% 1.85 —
65.4% 1.53 —

Total goals

89.5% 1.12 —
67.0% 1.49 —
40.5% 2.47 —
20.8% 4.82 —
33.0% 3.03 —
59.5% 1.68 —
79.2% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

65.6% 1.52 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Home team goals

63.8% 1.57 —
27.3% 3.66 —

Away team goals

72.4% 1.38 —
37.1% 2.7 —

Both to score

46.8% 2.14 —

Corners

70.1% 1.43 —
60.1% 1.66 —
49.8% 2.01 —
40.1% 2.49 —
31.2% 3.21 —
39.9% 2.51 —
50.3% 1.99 —
59.9% 1.67 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Home corners

69.6% 1.44 —
55.1% 1.82 —
41.4% 2.42 —

Away corners

61.8% 1.62 —
46.4% 2.16 —
32.6% 3.07 —

Cards

74.2% 1.35 —
57.2% 1.75 —
40.4% 2.48 —
26.5% 3.78 —
42.8% 2.34 —
59.6% 1.68 —
73.5% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds