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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-11-14

Livingston – Morton

Home 66% 1.51 fair
Draw 21% 4.81 fair
Away 13% 7.79 fair
Expected Goals2.62
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 67.8% → 66.3% -1.5 pp
Draw 20.4% → 20.8% +0.4 pp
Away 11.8% → 12.8% +1.1 pp
Over 2.5 49.3% → 48.1% -1.1 pp
Both teams to score 42.4% → 42.2% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.66 → 2.62 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.76 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.93 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

66.3% 1.51 —
20.8% 4.81 —
12.8% 7.79 —
87.2% 1.15 —
33.7% 2.97 —
79.2% 1.26 —

Half-time result

44.0% 2.27 —
39.9% 2.51 —
16.1% 6.22 —

Half-time double chance

83.9% 1.19 —
56.0% 1.79 —
60.1% 1.66 —

Both halves

24.3% 4.12 —

HT/FT

41.0% 2.44 —
22.0% 4.55 —
13.6% 7.33 —
4.2% 23.58 —
3.3% 30.21 —
4.6% 21.93 —
8.2% 12.2 —

HT/FT double chance

79.3% 1.26 —
67.7% 1.48 —
20.9% 4.79 —
51.5% 1.94 —
52.9% 1.89 —
15.8% 6.34 —
43.5% 2.3 —
37.8% 2.65 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Total goals

92.3% 1.08 —
72.4% 1.38 —
48.1% 2.08 —
27.2% 3.68 —
27.6% 3.63 —
51.8% 1.93 —
72.8% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Home team goals

84.7% 1.18 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Away team goals

49.8% 2.01 —
15.7% 6.36 —

Both to score

42.2% 2.37 —

Corners

68.4% 1.46 —
58.3% 1.72 —
48.3% 2.07 —
39.0% 2.57 —
30.4% 3.29 —
41.7% 2.4 —
51.7% 1.93 —
61.0% 1.64 —
69.6% 1.44 —

Home corners

75.2% 1.33 —
61.9% 1.62 —
48.6% 2.06 —

Away corners

52.0% 1.92 —
35.8% 2.79 —
23.3% 4.29 —

Cards

81.8% 1.22 —
67.4% 1.48 —
51.7% 1.93 —
37.0% 2.7 —
32.6% 3.07 —
48.3% 2.07 —
63.0% 1.59 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds