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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-11-07 15:00

Morton – Stenhousemuir

Home 30% 3.37 fair
Draw 30% 3.32 fair
Away 40% 2.48 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-1 Morton – Stenhousemuir
FINAL Actual Result 4–3 Morton – Stenhousemuir
Expected Goals2.05
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.534%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 6.5% → 29.6% +23.1 pp
Draw 21.4% → 30.1% +8.7 pp
Away 72.0% → 40.3% -31.8 pp
Over 2.5 33.1% → 33.7% +0.6 pp
Both teams to score 21.9% → 40.4% +18.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.03 → 2.05 +0.02
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.6% 3.37 —
30.1% 3.32 —
40.3% 2.48 —
59.7% 1.67 —
70.4% 1.42 —
69.9% 1.43 —

Half-time result

27.8% 3.6 —
47.1% 2.12 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Half-time double chance

74.8% 1.34 —
72.2% 1.38 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Both halves

5.4% 18.45 —

HT/FT

19.6% 5.11 —
6.0% 16.75 —
9.3% 10.7 —
20.8% 4.8 —
16.9% 5.92 —
3.3% 30.3 —
21.1% 4.73 —

HT/FT double chance

55.7% 1.8 —
48.0% 2.08 —
45.9% 2.18 —
29.6% 3.38 —
43.7% 2.29 —
32.6% 3.06 —
34.2% 2.92 —
48.1% 2.08 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Total goals

86.9% 1.15 —
60.2% 1.66 —
33.7% 2.97 —
15.2% 6.59 —
39.8% 2.51 —
66.3% 1.51 —
84.8% 1.18 —

1st-half goals

62.5% 1.6 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Home team goals

59.9% 1.67 —
23.5% 4.25 —

Away team goals

67.3% 1.49 —
31.1% 3.21 —

Both to score

40.4% 2.47 —

Corners

72.6% 1.38 —
62.9% 1.59 —
52.7% 1.9 —
43.0% 2.33 —
33.8% 2.96 —
37.1% 2.69 —
47.3% 2.11 —
57.0% 1.75 —
66.2% 1.51 —

Home corners

69.8% 1.43 —
55.4% 1.81 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Away corners

66.5% 1.5 —
51.4% 1.95 —
37.4% 2.67 —

Cards

74.2% 1.35 —
57.0% 1.75 —
40.4% 2.47 —
26.9% 3.71 —
43.0% 2.33 —
59.6% 1.68 —
73.1% 1.37 —

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