Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-11-07 15:00
Arbroath – Ayr
Home
29%
3.42 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
43%
2.31 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Arbroath – Ayr
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Arbroath – Ayr
Expected Goals2.42
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.9%
→
29.2%
-4.6 pp
Draw
28.3%
→
27.5%
-0.8 pp
Away
37.8%
→
43.2%
+5.4 pp
Over 2.5
42.9%
→
43.5%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
49.0%
→
48.7%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.4 →
2.42
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.1% | 5.52 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 5.5% | 18.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.33 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.65 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.7 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.2 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — |
Away corners
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — |
Cards
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds