Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-21
Barrow – Carlisle
Home
42%
2.4 fair
Draw
23%
4.28 fair
Away
35%
2.87 fair
Expected Goals3.11
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.4%
→
41.7%
+13.3 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
23.4%
-2.9 pp
Away
45.4%
→
34.9%
-10.5 pp
Over 2.5
47.0%
→
59.9%
+12.8 pp
Both teams to score
51.5%
→
61.8%
+10.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.56 →
3.11
+0.55
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.2% | 5.22 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Both halves
| 8.2% | 12.22 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.0% | 7.12 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.95 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.16 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.28 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — |
Both to score
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Away corners
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — |
Cards
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds