Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14
Carlisle – Boston Utd
Home
66%
1.53 fair
Draw
19%
5.27 fair
Away
16%
6.45 fair
Expected Goals3.22
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
59.5%
→
65.5%
+6.1 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
19.0%
-2.4 pp
Away
19.2%
→
15.5%
-3.7 pp
Over 2.5
58.3%
→
62.3%
+4.1 pp
Both teams to score
55.8%
→
56.0%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.05 →
3.22
+0.17
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.56 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.03 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — |
Both to score
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Corners
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Home corners
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — |
Away corners
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — |
Cards
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds