Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-31 15:00
Altrincham – Carlisle
Home
30%
3.39 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
46%
2.19 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Altrincham – Carlisle
FINAL
Actual Result
2–4
Altrincham – Carlisle
Expected Goals2.88
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.7%
→
29.5%
+0.8 pp
Draw
24.4%
→
24.8%
+0.4 pp
Away
46.9%
→
45.7%
-1.2 pp
Over 2.5
57.3%
→
55.0%
-2.3 pp
Both teams to score
59.4%
→
58.0%
-1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.97 →
2.88
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 6.5% | 15.5 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.7% | 5.66 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.8 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.01 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.0 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.19 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — |
Both to score
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — |
Away corners
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
Cards
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds