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Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-28

Carlisle – Harrogate

Home 58% 1.72 fair
Draw 19% 5.32 fair
Away 23% 4.33 fair
Expected Goals4.07
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score72%
Over 2.577%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.02 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
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16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.72 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.1% 1.72 —
18.8% 5.32 —
23.1% 4.33 —
76.9% 1.3 —
41.9% 2.39 —
81.2% 1.23 —

Half-time result

58.7% 1.7 —
27.6% 3.62 —
13.7% 7.31 —

Half-time double chance

86.3% 1.16 —
41.3% 2.42 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Both halves

21.5% 4.65 —

HT/FT

46.6% 2.15 —
7.8% 12.8 —
4.3% 23.15 —
9.8% 10.15 —
8.4% 11.93 —
9.4% 10.64 —
9.4% 10.64 —

HT/FT double chance

72.6% 1.38 —
70.1% 1.43 —
29.9% 3.34 —
58.7% 1.71 —
62.0% 1.61 —
24.1% 4.14 —
22.5% 4.44 —
30.3% 3.3 —
29.8% 3.36 —

Total goals

91.6% 1.09 —
76.9% 1.3 —
58.0% 1.73 —
8.4% 11.95 —
23.1% 4.33 —
42.0% 2.38 —

1st-half goals

85.3% 1.17 —
58.2% 1.72 —

Home team goals

91.7% 1.09 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Away team goals

79.1% 1.26 —
46.4% 2.16 —

Both to score

72.4% 1.38 —

Corners

76.7% 1.3 —
66.1% 1.51 —
54.0% 1.85 —
41.8% 2.39 —
31.0% 3.22 —
33.9% 2.95 —
46.0% 2.17 —
58.2% 1.72 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Home corners

83.3% 1.2 —
69.7% 1.44 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Away corners

57.5% 1.74 —
38.5% 2.6 —
23.2% 4.31 —

Cards

68.4% 1.46 —
49.4% 2.02 —
32.0% 3.12 —
18.9% 5.3 —
50.6% 1.98 —
68.0% 1.47 —
81.1% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds