Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-29
Swansea – Cardiff
Home
52%
1.94 fair
Draw
24%
4.17 fair
Away
24%
4.09 fair
Expected Goals2.91
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.6%
→
51.6%
-4.0 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
24.0%
-0.1 pp
Away
20.4%
→
24.5%
+4.1 pp
Over 2.5
49.1%
→
55.9%
+6.8 pp
Both teams to score
49.7%
→
57.0%
+7.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.63 →
2.91
+0.28
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 16.4% | 6.12 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.88 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.21 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.72 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.72 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.24 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Both to score
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — |
Away corners
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — |
Cards
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds