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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-29

Hoffenheim – Augsburg

Home 54% 1.85 fair
Draw 21% 4.84 fair
Away 25% 3.95 fair
Expected Goals3.57
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.2% → 54.0% +1.8 pp
Draw 21.2% → 20.7% -0.6 pp
Away 26.6% → 25.3% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 66.5% → 69.1% +2.6 pp
Both teams to score 65.4% → 67.1% +1.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.43 → 3.57 +0.14
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.38 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.3 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.0% 1.85 —
20.7% 4.84 —
25.3% 3.95 —
74.7% 1.34 —
46.0% 2.17 —
79.3% 1.26 —

Half-time result

49.5% 2.02 —
31.2% 3.21 —
19.3% 5.18 —

Half-time double chance

80.7% 1.24 —
50.5% 1.98 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Both halves

18.5% 5.41 —

HT/FT

39.9% 2.51 —
6.7% 14.84 —
11.9% 8.38 —
10.1% 9.9 —
9.1% 10.96 —
3.8% 26.18 —
13.3% 7.53 —

HT/FT double chance

68.7% 1.46 —
63.8% 1.57 —
28.9% 3.46 —
52.6% 1.9 —
58.3% 1.72 —
26.8% 3.74 —
28.1% 3.56 —
36.5% 2.74 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Total goals

87.1% 1.15 —
69.1% 1.45 —
48.0% 2.08 —
12.9% 7.76 —
30.9% 3.24 —
52.0% 1.92 —

1st-half goals

83.1% 1.2 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Home team goals

88.3% 1.13 —
63.1% 1.58 —

Away team goals

76.0% 1.32 —
41.6% 2.4 —

Both to score

67.1% 1.49 —

Corners

76.9% 1.3 —
66.7% 1.5 —
55.9% 1.79 —
45.3% 2.21 —
35.4% 2.83 —
33.3% 3.0 —
44.1% 2.27 —
54.7% 1.83 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Home corners

81.1% 1.23 —
68.1% 1.47 —
54.0% 1.85 —

Away corners

58.7% 1.71 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Cards

75.0% 1.33 —
58.1% 1.72 —
41.9% 2.39 —
27.8% 3.59 —
41.9% 2.38 —
58.1% 1.72 —
72.2% 1.39 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds