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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-21

Plymouth – Peterboro

Home 58% 1.73 fair
Draw 20% 4.96 fair
Away 22% 4.52 fair
Expected Goals3.39
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 59.9% → 57.7% -2.2 pp
Draw 19.4% → 20.2% +0.8 pp
Away 20.7% → 22.1% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 69.3% → 66.4% -2.8 pp
Both teams to score 64.9% → 63.5% -1.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.57 → 3.39 -0.18
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.33 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.7% 1.73 —
20.2% 4.96 —
22.1% 4.52 —
77.9% 1.28 —
42.3% 2.37 —
79.8% 1.25 —

Half-time result

42.2% 2.37 —
34.6% 2.89 —
23.2% 4.32 —

Half-time double chance

76.8% 1.3 —
57.8% 1.73 —
65.4% 1.53 —

Both halves

21.0% 4.76 —

HT/FT

36.3% 2.75 —
4.3% 23.36 —
17.3% 5.79 —
10.3% 9.68 —
7.0% 14.22 —
4.1% 24.21 —
5.6% 17.99 —
13.5% 7.43 —

HT/FT double chance

68.2% 1.47 —
62.2% 1.61 —
23.2% 4.3 —
50.3% 1.99 —
55.5% 1.8 —
24.9% 4.02 —
37.3% 2.68 —
41.9% 2.39 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Total goals

96.7% 1.03 —
85.4% 1.17 —
66.4% 1.51 —
43.9% 2.28 —
14.6% 6.86 —
33.6% 2.98 —
56.1% 1.78 —

1st-half goals

79.4% 1.26 —
47.1% 2.12 —

Home team goals

88.4% 1.13 —
62.7% 1.6 —

Away team goals

71.7% 1.39 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Both to score

63.5% 1.58 —

Corners

77.2% 1.29 —
68.2% 1.47 —
58.2% 1.72 —
48.0% 2.08 —
38.7% 2.58 —
31.8% 3.14 —
41.8% 2.39 —
52.0% 1.92 —
61.3% 1.63 —

Home corners

74.7% 1.34 —
60.9% 1.64 —
46.9% 2.13 —

Away corners

68.6% 1.46 —
53.3% 1.88 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Cards

76.5% 1.31 —
59.2% 1.69 —
42.2% 2.37 —
28.1% 3.56 —
40.8% 2.45 —
57.8% 1.73 —
72.0% 1.39 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds