Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-21
Notts County – Stevenage
Home
39%
2.54 fair
Draw
33%
3.06 fair
Away
28%
3.57 fair
Expected Goals1.82
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.528%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.5%
→
39.3%
+6.9 pp
Draw
32.0%
→
32.6%
+0.7 pp
Away
35.6%
→
28.0%
-7.5 pp
Over 2.5
28.3%
→
27.7%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
36.6%
→
35.8%
-0.8 pp
Expected Goals
1.86 →
1.82
-0.04
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.48 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Both halves
| 7.3% | 13.74 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.15 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.45 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Total goals
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.87 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — |
1st-half goals
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.79 | — |
Home team goals
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Away team goals
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.22 | — |
Both to score
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — |
Corners
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — |
Away corners
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — |
Cards
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds