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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-21

Mansfield – Milton Keynes Dons

Home 48% 2.08 fair
Draw 24% 4.18 fair
Away 28% 3.56 fair
Expected Goals3.0
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.6% → 48.0% -3.6 pp
Draw 25.4% → 23.9% -1.4 pp
Away 23.0% → 28.1% +5.0 pp
Over 2.5 47.6% → 57.5% +9.9 pp
Both teams to score 49.5% → 59.4% +9.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.57 → 3.0 +0.43
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.9 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.56 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.0% 2.08 —
23.9% 4.18 —
28.1% 3.56 —
71.9% 1.39 —
52.0% 1.92 —
76.1% 1.31 —

Half-time result

37.3% 2.68 —
42.4% 2.36 —
20.3% 4.92 —

Half-time double chance

79.7% 1.26 —
62.7% 1.59 —
57.6% 1.74 —

Both halves

14.6% 6.86 —

HT/FT

28.9% 3.46 —
5.7% 17.45 —
16.3% 6.12 —
13.9% 7.18 —
12.1% 8.24 —
4.3% 23.42 —
13.3% 7.52 —

HT/FT double chance

64.9% 1.54 —
60.0% 1.67 —
34.4% 2.9 —
41.7% 2.4 —
47.6% 2.1 —
25.9% 3.86 —
37.3% 2.68 —
44.5% 2.25 —
43.6% 2.29 —

Total goals

94.9% 1.05 —
80.1% 1.25 —
57.5% 1.74 —
35.3% 2.84 —
19.9% 5.04 —
42.5% 2.35 —
64.7% 1.54 —

1st-half goals

68.2% 1.47 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Home team goals

82.2% 1.22 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Away team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
36.0% 2.77 —

Both to score

59.4% 1.68 —

Corners

71.5% 1.4 —
61.4% 1.63 —
50.8% 1.97 —
40.4% 2.47 —
31.3% 3.19 —
38.6% 2.59 —
49.2% 2.03 —
59.6% 1.68 —
68.7% 1.46 —

Home corners

71.6% 1.4 —
56.7% 1.76 —
42.3% 2.36 —

Away corners

62.3% 1.61 —
46.4% 2.15 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Cards

66.0% 1.51 —
46.4% 2.15 —
29.8% 3.36 —
17.2% 5.8 —
53.6% 1.87 —
70.2% 1.42 —
82.8% 1.21 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds