Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-21
Burton – Luton
Home
29%
3.49 fair
Draw
25%
4.04 fair
Away
47%
2.15 fair
Expected Goals2.8
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.8%
→
28.6%
-4.2 pp
Draw
24.5%
→
24.8%
+0.2 pp
Away
42.6%
→
46.6%
+4.0 pp
Over 2.5
54.5%
→
53.1%
-1.4 pp
Both teams to score
57.8%
→
55.7%
-2.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.8
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 6.5% | 15.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.92 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.02 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Both to score
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.32 | — |
Away corners
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Cards
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds