Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-14
Sheffield Weds – Plymouth
Home
51%
1.96 fair
Draw
23%
4.31 fair
Away
26%
3.88 fair
Expected Goals2.99
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.0%
→
51.0%
-4.9 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
23.2%
+0.4 pp
Away
21.2%
→
25.8%
+4.5 pp
Over 2.5
55.1%
→
57.2%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
54.2%
→
58.3%
+4.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.89 →
2.99
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 15.6% | 6.43 | — |
HT/FT
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.7 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.35 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.25 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.99 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Both to score
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Home corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
Away corners
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Cards
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds