Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-14
Milton Keynes Dons – Burton
Home
49%
2.05 fair
Draw
24%
4.11 fair
Away
27%
3.7 fair
Expected Goals2.83
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.8%
→
48.7%
+9.9 pp
Draw
27.7%
→
24.3%
-3.4 pp
Away
33.5%
→
27.0%
-6.4 pp
Over 2.5
42.3%
→
53.8%
+11.5 pp
Both teams to score
48.2%
→
56.0%
+7.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.36 →
2.83
+0.47
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — |
Both halves
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.21 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.88 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.5 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.7 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Total goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Both to score
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Away corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — |
Cards
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds