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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-14

AFC Wimbledon – Blackpool

Home 28% 3.56 fair
Draw 27% 3.76 fair
Away 45% 2.21 fair
Expected Goals2.52
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.8% → 28.1% -1.7 pp
Draw 26.6% → 26.6% +0.0 pp
Away 43.6% → 45.4% +1.7 pp
Over 2.5 45.4% → 46.2% +0.7 pp
Both teams to score 50.1% → 50.6% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.5 → 2.52 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.42 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.1% 3.56 —
26.6% 3.76 —
45.4% 2.21 —
54.6% 1.83 —
71.9% 1.39 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Half-time result

25.5% 3.92 —
45.0% 2.22 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Half-time double chance

70.5% 1.42 —
74.5% 1.34 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Both halves

5.8% 17.18 —

HT/FT

16.8% 5.95 —
5.7% 17.54 —
3.0% 33.11 —
10.0% 10.01 —
16.7% 5.97 —
18.3% 5.47 —
4.2% 24.1 —
24.1% 4.16 —

HT/FT double chance

49.2% 2.03 —
48.1% 2.08 —
43.7% 2.29 —
27.9% 3.58 —
45.1% 2.21 —
36.9% 2.71 —
32.2% 3.11 —
53.6% 1.87 —
63.2% 1.58 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
71.9% 1.39 —
46.2% 2.17 —
24.3% 4.11 —
28.1% 3.56 —
53.8% 1.86 —
75.6% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

65.3% 1.53 —
28.5% 3.51 —

Home team goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.1% 2.38 —

Both to score

50.6% 1.98 —

Corners

73.7% 1.36 —
64.1% 1.56 —
53.3% 1.88 —
43.4% 2.3 —
34.3% 2.92 —
35.9% 2.79 —
46.7% 2.14 —
56.6% 1.77 —
65.7% 1.52 —

Home corners

74.0% 1.35 —
60.3% 1.66 —
46.4% 2.15 —

Away corners

62.4% 1.6 —
46.2% 2.16 —
32.3% 3.09 —

Cards

63.3% 1.58 —
43.6% 2.29 —
27.0% 3.71 —
15.3% 6.51 —
56.4% 1.77 —
73.0% 1.37 —
84.7% 1.18 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds